What updates when

Sources last checked 19 days ago. 2 new reports came in this week. That is longer than it should be — something may be broken. See what updates when

Official statistics move once a year. What people post moves every day. This page shows exactly when each source was last checked — including when something has broken.

Posts collected4 raw, before extraction

New this week2 across all sources

Awaiting extraction4 collected, not yet published

Sources tracked16 official and community

Source by source

Source	Last result	Last checked	New (7d)	Notes
`telegram_us_visa_india`	dead	not used	—	DISABLED: 78k-member group. t.me/s/ returns the header only — groups have no public web preview. Would need an authenticated MTProto client.
`telegram_f1_slots_india`	dead	not used	—	DISABLED: same reason — t.me/s/ yields no message text.
`redbus2us_221g`	unverified	never	—	robots.txt blocks GPTBot and SemrushBot; '*' is allowed.
`redbus2us_f1_experiences`	unverified	never	—
`immigration_forum_niv`	unverified	never	—	2.5M messages, robots-permissive, no AI-bot blocks.
`murthy_forum_consular`	unverified	never	—
`dos_wait_times`	unverified	never	—	No history is published anywhere. The archive this builds is the only one that will exist, and it cannot be backfilled.
`ec_schengen_annual`	unverified	never	—	Watch for the next year's consulate file, usually published around May.
`dos_refusal_rates`	unverified	never	—
`immigrationboards_uk_visitor`	unverified	never	—	Long-running UK visa forum. robots.txt read 31 Aug 2026: User-agent * allowed, only /index.php?, /profile.php?, /login.php, /memberlist.php, /faq.php, /groupcp.php and /modules/ disallowed — forum listings are permitted. The URL below is a GUESS at the section path and timed out twice on check; the validator has to confirm it before this is trusted.
`immigrationboards_uk_student`	unverified	never	—	Same site and same permissive robots as the visitor section above; the section path is likewise a guess. UK study refusal is where the corridors diverge most sharply — 3.4% for India against 21.3% for Bangladesh — so first-hand detail here is worth more than on the visitor route.
`nairaland_visa`	unverified	never	—	Nigeria's largest forum, and the highest-value gap we have (47.9% Schengen refusal, 38.2% UK visitor). But /robots.txt itself returned 403 to two different non-browser clients on 31 Aug 2026, i.e. bot protection ahead of robots. If robots cannot be read we do not get to assume permission, so this stays a candidate until a fetch actually succeeds — and if it only ever works from a real browser, that is a signal to leave it alone rather than a puzzle to solve.
`pinoyexchange_visa`	unverified	never	—	Vanilla-forum site, so the section path is a guess and the listing parser may need its own selector. Filipino applicants are 13.8% refused for UK visitor and 13.9% for Schengen — middling rates, but a large and completely unrepresented cohort in the corpus today.
`visajourney_visitor`	unverified	never	—	VISAJOURNEY is a registered mark; we link and quote briefly, never republish threads wholesale.
`immihelp_schengen`	unproven	never	—	VERIFIED 31 Aug 2026. robots.txt allows /forum/ (only /ads/, /services/, /script/, /search/, /api/* are disallowed) and asks crawl-delay 3. Listing renders server-side, no JS, thread URLs are /forum/schengen-visa/<id>-<slug>. Caveat: activity is thin — the visible page mixes threads from 2008 with a handful from 2025 — so expect low yield rather than a rich corridor source.
`uk_home_office_stats`	unverified	never	—	Quarterly. Watch for the next entry-clearance outcomes xlsx; the file name carries the quarter so the URL changes each time.

How the update works

Only what is new. Each source keeps a marker of the last thing we saw. A run fetches what has appeared since — it does not re-read the whole archive.
Collect first, interpret second. New posts are stored before anything tries to read meaning into them. So a bad interpretation can be redone later without losing the material.
Nothing goes live on arrival. A post only becomes a published report once the outcome it claims is actually supported by what the person wrote. Anything unclear stays unclear.
Logged out, and polite. We read only public pages, honour each site's robots.txt and crawl-delay, and make one request at a time. We hold no accounts anywhere.
Questions are not outcomes. "Did they issue 221(g)?" is a question, not a 221(g) report. Only a first-hand account of something that happened to the writer is counted — and replies from a forum's own moderators are excluded, which on one real thread was 17% of it.
Sources we cannot use are listed as off, with the reason. A source that silently returns nothing looks exactly like a source with no news.
Failures are shown, not hidden. When a source breaks it appears above as failing and gets retried less often, rather than being quietly dropped.

Why official data lags

The European Commission publishes consulate figures once a year, usually around May. The US State Department publishes refusal rates once a year with no announcement, and has skipped years entirely. Visa wait times change weekly but no history is published anywhere — so the record we keep of them is the only one that exists.

That is the honest split: the crowd tells you what is happening this week, the governments tell you what happened last year, and neither substitutes for the other.