What updates when
Sources last checked 2 hours ago. 1562 new reports came in this week. See what updates when
Official statistics move once a year. What people post moves every day. This page shows exactly when each source was last checked — including when something has broken.
Posts collected1,564
raw, before extraction
New this week1562
across all sources
Awaiting extraction1,564
collected, not yet published
Sources tracked16
official and community
Source by source
| Source | Last result | Last checked | New (7d) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
telegram_us_visa_india | dead | not used | — | DISABLED: 78k-member group. t.me/s/ returns the header only — groups have no public web preview. Would need an authenticated MTProto client. |
telegram_f1_slots_india | dead | not used | — | DISABLED: same reason — t.me/s/ yields no message text. |
redbus2us_221g | not yielding unchanged | 2026-11-01 11:56 | 944 | robots.txt blocks GPTBot and SemrushBot; '*' is allowed. |
redbus2us_f1_experiences | proven 2 first-hand unchanged | 2026-11-01 11:56 | 0 | |
immigration_forum_niv | not yielding skipped | 2026-11-01 11:56 | 0 | 2.5M messages, robots-permissive, no AI-bot blocks. |
murthy_forum_consular | unverified error | 2026-10-27 10:45 | 0 | |
dos_wait_times | unverified error | 2026-10-29 11:39 | 0 | No history is published anywhere. The archive this builds is the only one that will exist, and it cannot be backfilled. |
ec_schengen_annual | proven ok | 2026-10-30 11:29 | 7 | Watch for the next year's consulate file, usually published around May. |
dos_refusal_rates | unverified error | 2026-10-30 11:29 | 0 | |
immigrationboards_uk_visitor | unverified error | 2026-10-29 11:39 | 0 | Long-running UK visa forum. robots.txt read 31 Aug 2026: User-agent * allowed, only /index.php?, /profile.php?, /login.php, /memberlist.php, /faq.php, /groupcp.php and /modules/ disallowed — forum listings are permitted. The URL below is a GUESS at the section path and timed out twice on check; the validator has to confirm it before this is trusted. |
immigrationboards_uk_student | unverified error | 2026-10-27 10:45 | 0 | Same site and same permissive robots as the visitor section above; the section path is likewise a guess. UK study refusal is where the corridors diverge most sharply — 3.4% for India against 21.3% for Bangladesh — so first-hand detail here is worth more than on the visitor route. |
nairaland_visa | unverified error | 2026-10-29 11:39 | 0 | Nigeria's largest forum, and the highest-value gap we have (47.9% Schengen refusal, 38.2% UK visitor). But /robots.txt itself returned 403 to two different non-browser clients on 31 Aug 2026, i.e. bot protection ahead of robots. If robots cannot be read we do not get to assume permission, so this stays a candidate until a fetch actually succeeds — and if it only ever works from a real browser, that is a signal to leave it alone rather than a puzzle to solve. |
pinoyexchange_visa | unverified error | 2026-10-27 10:45 | 0 | Vanilla-forum site, so the section path is a guess and the listing parser may need its own selector. Filipino applicants are 13.8% refused for UK visitor and 13.9% for Schengen — middling rates, but a large and completely unrepresented cohort in the corpus today. |
visajourney_visitor | unverified error | 2026-10-27 10:45 | 0 | VISAJOURNEY is a registered mark; we link and quote briefly, never republish threads wholesale. |
immihelp_schengen | not yielding error | 2026-10-29 11:39 | 0 | VERIFIED 31 Aug 2026. robots.txt allows /forum/ (only /ads/, /services/, /script/, /search/, /api/* are disallowed) and asks crawl-delay 3. Listing renders server-side, no JS, thread URLs are /forum/schengen-visa/<id>-<slug>. Caveat: activity is thin — the visible page mixes threads from 2008 with a handful from 2025 — so expect low yield rather than a rich corridor source. |
uk_home_office_stats | proven ok | 2026-10-30 11:29 | 7 | Quarterly. Watch for the next entry-clearance outcomes xlsx; the file name carries the quarter so the URL changes each time. |
How the update works
- Only what is new. Each source keeps a marker of the last thing we saw. A run fetches what has appeared since — it does not re-read the whole archive.
- Collect first, interpret second. New posts are stored before anything tries to read meaning into them. So a bad interpretation can be redone later without losing the material.
- Nothing goes live on arrival. A post only becomes a published report once the outcome it claims is actually supported by what the person wrote. Anything unclear stays unclear.
- Logged out, and polite. We read only public pages, honour each site's robots.txt and crawl-delay, and make one request at a time. We hold no accounts anywhere.
- Questions are not outcomes. "Did they issue 221(g)?" is a question, not a 221(g) report. Only a first-hand account of something that happened to the writer is counted — and replies from a forum's own moderators are excluded, which on one real thread was 17% of it.
- Sources we cannot use are listed as off, with the reason. A source that silently returns nothing looks exactly like a source with no news.
- Failures are shown, not hidden. When a source breaks it appears above as failing and gets retried less often, rather than being quietly dropped.
Why official data lags
The European Commission publishes consulate figures once a year, usually around May. The US State Department publishes refusal rates once a year with no announcement, and has skipped years entirely. Visa wait times change weekly but no history is published anywhere — so the record we keep of them is the only one that exists.
That is the honest split: the crowd tells you what is happening this week, the governments tell you what happened last year, and neither substitutes for the other.