Madagascar → United States

Visitor visa (B1/B2) refusal rate, FY2006–FY2025

FY2025 refusal rate17.23% ▲ +4.11 pts vs FY2024
Global rank#139 of 198 nationalities
vs FY2019+9.54 points, against pre-pandemic
Year-to-year swing±4.62 typical annual move

Madagascar's adjusted refusal rate for US visitor (B) visas was 17.23% in FY2025. That ranks 139 of 198 nationalities — higher than 30% of countries. It rose 4.11 points from 13.12% in FY2024. Against FY2019, the last pre-pandemic year published, it is 9.54 points higher. Over the 18 published years its highest was 21.82% (FY2021) and its lowest 7.69% (FY2019). Within Sub-Saharan Africa it ranks 45 of 49.

For context, across all nationalities in FY2024 the US refused 27.8% of B1/B2 applications and 41.0% of F-1 student applications. Those are worldwide figures — the government does not publish an F-1 refusal rate for Madagascar or for any single country. Why not.

The full published history

Adjusted refusal rate (%)0153045602006200920122015202020232025FY17–18 not published17.23%

Get told when this changes

The State Department publishes these figures once a year with no announcement, and has skipped years entirely. We check the source daily and will email you when the number for Madagascar moves. No newsletter, no marketing — just the data changing.

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Closest peers by current rate

CountryFY2025RankTrend
Netherlands17.42%#138
Namibia16.54%#140
Chile16.38%#141
Finland18.09%#137
Norway16.18%#142

Sub-Saharan Africa

CountryFY2025Rank
Somalia83.52%#3
South Sudan76.09%#5
The Gambia75.29%#6
Guinea-Bissau75.17%#7
Senegal73.96%#8
Liberia73.01%#9
Togo72.02%#10
Burkina Faso71.25%#11

Every published year

Fiscal yearRefusal rate Change
FY20069.60%
FY200714.20%+4.60
FY200811.90%-2.30
FY200918.20%+6.30
FY201015.70%-2.50
FY201115.00%-0.70
FY201217.50%+2.50
FY20139.30%-8.20
FY201411.60%+2.30
FY201511.01%-0.59
FY201612.12%+1.11
FY20197.69%-4.43
FY202014.36%+6.67
FY202121.82%+7.46
FY202213.24%-8.58
FY202312.07%-1.17
FY202413.12%+1.05
FY202517.23%+4.11

FY2017 and FY2018 are absent because the State Department never published them.

Source

US Department of State, Calculation of the Adjusted Visa Refusal Rate for Tourist and Business Travelers Under the Guidelines of the Visa Waiver Program, FY2006–FY2025. One PDF per fiscal year. Primary source ↗

The adjusted rate is (refusals − overcomes) ÷ (issuances + refusals − overcomes), counting each applicant once per fiscal year at final status and excluding cases that required a waiver of ineligibility. Rank, change, volatility and peer figures on this page are computed by us from that data and are not published by the government.